Bitcoin (BTC) is struggling to rise above the overhead resistance at $31,000, but a minor positive is that the bulls have not allowed the price to dive below the $29,500 support. This suggests that a catalyst may be needed for the price to break out from its range.
On the macroeconomic front, the Federal Reserve’s meeting son July 25 and 26 are important events to keep an eye on. The FedWatch Tool shows a 99.2% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in the meeting. If that happens, the markets may not witness a knee-jerk reaction as the hike seems to have been priced in. However, any surprise move by the Fed could thrust the price out of the range.
Several analysts expect the range to break soon, but there is no consensus on the direction of the breakout. If the price breaks below the range, analysts expect a significant downside. Some are even projecting a fall closer to $20,000.
If Bitcoin moves higher, select altcoins could attract buyers. Let’s study the charts of top-five cryptocurrencies that could turn positive over the next few days.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin remains pinned below the 20-day exponential moving average ($30,036) for the past few days, but a positive sign is that the bears have not been able to sink the price to the 50-day simple moving average ($28,979).
This suggests that the bulls have not given up and they are buying on every minor dip. The repeated failure of the bears to pull the BTC/USDT pair lower may attract buyers.
If the price breaks above the 20-day EMA, the pair could rally toward the overhead resistance of $31,000. A charge above the $31,000-to-$32,400 zone could clear the path for a possible rally to $40,000.
On the other hand, if the price turns down and dives below the 50-day SMA, it will suggest that bears are making a comeback. The pair may then slump toward the support at $24,800.
The moving averages on the four-hour chart are flattening out and the relative strength index (RSI) has risen to the midpoint, indicating that the range-bound action may continue for some more time.
If bulls push the price above the 50-day SMA, the pair could attempt a rally to $30,500 and then to $31,000. The important support to watch on the downside is $29,500. If this level crumbles, the pair may decline to $27,500.
Chainlink price analysis
Chainlink (LINK) has been trading inside a large range between $5.50 and $9.50 for the past several months. The bears pulled the price below the range on June 10, but they could not build upon this advantage.
The bulls pushed the price back into the range on June 21 and are currently attempting to drive the LINK/USDT pair toward the overhead resistance of $9.50. Both moving averages have turned up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that bulls are in control.
The bears will try to stall the up-move in the zone between $8.50 and $8.80, but if buyers bulldoze their way through, the pair may soar to $9.50. The important support to watch on the downside is $7.50 and then the 20-day EMA ($7.05).
The correction on the four-hour chart has reached the 20-day EMA, which is an important level to watch out for. If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA with strength, the pair could surge to $8.46. A break above this level will indicate the resumption of the uptrend. The pair could then reach $8.80.
This positive view will be negated in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below the 20-day EMA. That could tempt short-term bulls to book profits, pulling the price down to the 50-day SMA and, subsequently, to $6.50.
Filecoin price analysis
Filecoin (FIL) is trying to form an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which will complete on a break and close above the neckline.
The 20-day EMA ($4.36) has started to turn up gradually and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers thrust the price above the neckline, the FIL/USDT pair could attempt a rally to $6.50 and, eventually, to the pattern target of $7.30.
On the contrary, if the price turns down sharply from the neckline and breaks below the 50-day SMA ($4.12), it will suggest that the bulls have lost their grip. The pair may then skid to $3.50 and later to $3.29.
The 20-day EMA is sloping up on the four-hour chart and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that bulls have the upper hand. There is a minor resistance at $4.74, but if this level is crossed, the pair could retest the neckline.
The bears are expected to defend this level aggressively, but if bulls do not allow the price to slip below the 20-day EMA, the likelihood of a rally above the neckline increases.
Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below the 50-day SMA, it will suggest that the bears are selling on rallies. That may drag the pair to $4.14.
Synthetix price analysis
Synthetix (SNX) is attempting to break out from a basing pattern, but the bulls are facing solid resistance in the zone between $3.40 and $3.56.
During the pullback, the bulls did not allow the price to dip below the 20-day EMA ($2.56), which is a positive sign. This suggests that dips are being bought. Buyers will again try to clear the overhead zone. If they can pull it off, the SNX/USDT pair may start a rally to the next resistance at $4.50.
The bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to stall the relief rally in the overhead zone and yank the price below the 20-day EMA. If they do that, the pair may tumble to the 50-day SMA ($2.19).
The four-hour chart shows that the bears have pulled the price below the 20-day EMA, but the bulls are trying to guard the 50-day SMA. This suggests that lower levels continue to attract buyers.
If bulls propel the price above $3.15, the momentum could pick up and the pair could retest the resistance at $3.30. This is an important level to watch for because if it gives way, the pair may resume the next leg of the up-move and hit $3.82.
If bears want to prevent the rally, they will have to tug the price below the moving averages. The pair could then collapse to $2.52.
Theta Network price analysis
The recovery in the Theta Network (THETA) is facing selling near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.83.
However, a positive sign in favor of the bulls is that they have not allowed the price to sustain below the 20-day EMA ($0.77). This indicates that the sentiment is turning positive and traders are buying on dips.
A break and close above $0.83 could open the doors for a further rise to the 50% retracement level of $0.91 and, thereafter, to the 61.8% retracement level of $0.99.
This positive view will invalidate if the price turns down and plunges below the moving averages. The THETA/USDT pair could then descend to $0.66.
The four-hour chart shows that the price is trading inside an ascending channel pattern. The bulls are trying to arrest the pullback at the moving averages and resume the up-move. Generally, in a channel, the price bounces off the support and reaches the resistance.
If the price sustains above the 20-day EMA, the bulls will try to propel the pair above $0.85. If they succeed, the pair may climb to the resistance of the channel near $0.90.
Contrarily, if the price slips below the 50-day SMA, the bears will try to pull the pair to the support of the channel. A break below this level could tilt the short-term advantage in favor of the bears.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.